Posts by Sarah Caul

Understanding excess deaths during a pandemic

To give meaningful comparisons of mortality over time, the Office for National Statistics uses a five-year average.  This is designed to show us the expected number of deaths for a given year. However, the pandemic has had a big impact on this average and of what a ‘normal’ year looks like. Sarah Caul explains why, for 2022, the year 2020 will not be included as part of our five-year average.

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Counting deaths involving coronavirus: a year in review

Since before the pandemic the Office for National Statistics has been publishing death registrations in England and Wales on a weekly basis. What was once a little-known dataset has become one of the most important and widely used documents for tracking deaths throughout the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Today’s deaths registered weekly in England and Wales marks the end of 2020 death registration. But how does 2020 compare to previous years? Sarah Caul explains the complexities behind mortality comparisons…

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Coronavirus deaths: Taking stock of what we’ve seen so far – and what might happen next

Every week the ONS has been charting the tragic death toll of the coronavirus pandemic. As we pass the midway point in the year, Sarah Caul looks back on what has happened so far in 2020 and, using trends from previous years, gives her view on what could happen next.

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